March 06, 2018
SHANGHAI. -- Chinese steel prices dropped for the second straight session to the lowest in a week on Monday as demand remained subdued, dragging down steelmaking raw materials.
Steel demand has remained weak since the Lunar New Year holiday in late February and is likely to recover gradually from mid-March. That is limiting gains in steel prices made over the past few sessions on expectations for more government-mandated output curbs this year.
“The previous gains were mainly driven by the expectation that output curbs in Tangshan could spread to other northern regions, lifting market sentiment and prices, but demand hasn’t recovered yet, so prices lost support,” said Zhao Chaoyue, an analyst with Merchant Futures in Shenzhen.
“If demand fails to pick up quickly in late March, we might see prices entering a downward trend.”
The most active rebar on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell to a session low of 3,967 yuan ($626.52) a ton, the lowest since Feb. 26. It was down 0.7 percent at 3,973 yuan a ton by 0309 GMT.
China will cut about 30 million tons of steel capacity this year, the National Development and Reform Commission said on Monday, putting the country on track to beat its long-term targets as the government pledged to defend its “blue skies”.
Zhao expected Chinese steel mills to be more experienced in maximizing output by using more scrap and electric arc furnaces with lower emission.
China aims to expand its economy by around 6.5 percent this year, the same goal as in 2017 even though the economy grew 6.9 percent last year. This suggests that Beijing is keeping its focus on reducing risks to the financial system from a rapid build-up in debt.
Iron ore on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 1.5 percent 531.50 yuan a ton.
Coke dropped 1.6 percent to 2,197 yuan a ton and coking coal declined 0.4 percent to 1,377.50 yuan a ton.
Iron ore for delivery to China’s Qingdao port fell $1.05 to $78.34 a ton last Friday, according to Metal Bulletin. – Reuters